Arb WatcherBeta

Sam Merrill props

CLE vs ATL · Thu, Oct 29, 8:00 PM ET · SG

Open the full player view ›

Tonight's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Points 8.5projects 8.6+106Novig-108Novig48%
Rebounds 2.5projects 2.6+125Novig-140BetMGM46%
Assists 1.5projects 1.9-120BetMGM+104Novig54%
Threes 1.5projects 1.6-140Fanatics+135Novig54%
Pts + Reb + Ast 12.5projects 13.1-115Fanatics-110DraftKings52%
Pts + Reb 11.5projects 11.2+105Fanatics-140Fanatics48%
Pts + Ast 10.5projects 10.5+100Fanatics-123DraftKings48%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Points 8.5: over in 4 of the last 10 games, averaging 8.9. The model projects 8.6 and gives the over 48%. Best over +106 at Novig, best under -108 at Novig.

Rebounds 2.5: over in 3 of the last 10 games, averaging 1.9. The model projects 2.6 and gives the over 46%. Best over +125 at Novig, best under -140 at BetMGM.

Assists 1.5: over in 5 of the last 10 games, averaging 1.5. The model projects 1.9 and gives the over 54%. Best over -120 at BetMGM, best under +104 at Novig.

Threes 1.5: over in 5 of the last 10 games, averaging 1.8. The model projects 1.6 and gives the over 54%. Best over -140 at Fanatics, best under +135 at Novig.

Pts + Reb + Ast 12.5: over in 3 of the last 10 games, averaging 12.3. The model projects 13.1 and gives the over 52%. Best over -115 at Fanatics, best under -110 at DraftKings.

Pts + Reb 11.5: over in 3 of the last 10 games, averaging 10.8. The model projects 11.2 and gives the over 48%. Best over +105 at Fanatics, best under -140 at Fanatics.

Recent games

DateOppMinPtsRebAst3PM
10/28vs WSH208112
10/26vs MIN319421
10/24vs BKN217231
10/22@ PHI245521
5/25vs NY185111
5/23vs NY246312
5/21@ NY234000
5/19@ NY2812123
5/17@ DET2523125
5/15vs DET2010112

See Sam Merrill's chart, matchup and every book's price ›