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Sam LaPorta props

DET vs MIN · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Rec yds 49.5projects 30.8+104Novig-112DraftKings29%
Receptions 4.5projects 3+100Novig-104FanDuel26%
Anytime TD (yes)+245Novign/a20%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Rec yds 49.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 55.7. The model projects 30.8 and gives the over 29%. Best over +104 at Novig, best under -112 at DraftKings.

Receptions 4.5: over in 4 of the last 6 games, averaging 4.7. The model projects 3 and gives the over 26%. Best over +100 at Novig, best under -104 at FanDuel.

Anytime TD: scored in 3 of his last 6 games. The model gives him a 20% chance to score. Best price +245 at Novig.

This season

WeekOppRec ydsReceptions
W7GB181
W5@ARI885
W4@CAR848
W3NYJ443
W2@BUF526
W1NO485

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