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Sam Darnold props

SEA vs CHI · Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Completions 19.5projects 21-135Fanatics+111Novig61%
Pass att 30.5projects 32-104DraftKings-106Novig57%
Pass TDs 1.5projects 2-102Novig-107DraftKings53%
Rush yds 4.5projects 2.1-111Novig+100Novig39%
Pass + rush 241.5projects 258.4-114DraftKings-112DraftKingsn/a
Pass yds 249.5projects 252.7+145Fanatics-160Polymarketn/a
Anytime TD (yes)+625BetMGMn/a6%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Completions 19.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 18.3. The model projects 21 and gives the over 61%. Best over -135 at Fanatics, best under +111 at Novig.

Pass att 30.5: over in 2 of the last 6 games, averaging 29.5. The model projects 32 and gives the over 57%. Best over -104 at DraftKings, best under -106 at Novig.

Pass TDs 1.5: over in 2 of the last 6 games, averaging 1.3. The model projects 2 and gives the over 53%. Best over -102 at Novig, best under -107 at DraftKings.

Rush yds 4.5: over in 5 of the last 6 games, averaging 8.7. The model projects 2.1 and gives the over 39%. Best over -111 at Novig, best under +100 at Novig.

Pass + rush 241.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 223.7. The model projects 258.4. Best over -114 at DraftKings, best under -112 at DraftKings.

Pass yds 249.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 215. The model projects 252.7. Best over +145 at Fanatics, best under -160 at Polymarket.

This season

WeekOppCompletionsPass attPass TDsRush yds
W7KC2028117
W6@DEN2751019
W5SF182915
W4LAC132226
W3@WAS314545
W1NE1200

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