Arb WatcherBeta

Michael Penix Jr. props

ATL vs TB · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

Open the full player view ›

This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Completions 19.5projects 20-108Novig+106Novig55%
Pass TDs 1.5projects 1+144Novig-160Fanatics38%
Pass att 31.5projects 31-108Novig-104DraftKingsn/a
Pass yds 199.5projects 212.8-220Fanatics+173Underdogn/a
Anytime TD (yes)+1253Polymarketn/a10%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Completions 19.5: over in 1 of the last 5 games, averaging 19.2. The model projects 20 and gives the over 55%. Best over -108 at Novig, best under +106 at Novig.

Pass TDs 1.5: over in 2 of the last 5 games, averaging 1.8. The model projects 1 and gives the over 38%. Best over +144 at Novig, best under -160 at Fanatics.

Pass att 31.5: over in 3 of the last 5 games, averaging 28.8. The model projects 31. Best over -108 at Novig, best under -104 at DraftKings.

Pass yds 199.5: over in 5 of the last 5 games, averaging 231.4. The model projects 212.8. Best over -220 at Fanatics, best under +173 at Underdog.

Anytime TD: scored in 0 of his last 5 games. The model gives him a 10% chance to score. Best price +1253 at Polymarket.

This season

WeekOppCompletionsPass TDsPass attPass yds
W7SF25334213
W6CHI19333225
W5BAL19132240
W4@NO15120223
W3@GB18125256

See Michael Penix Jr.'s chart, matchup and every book's price ›