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Malik Willis props

MIA vs NE · Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Completions 16.5projects 19-105theScore Bet+102Novig67%
Pass TDs 0.5projects 1-163Novig+168DraftKings71%
Pass + rush 223.5projects 232.9-110theScore Bet-120theScore Bet–
Pass att 28.5projects 30-105Caesars-112DraftKings–
Pass yds 199.5projects 202.3+140Fanatics-160Polymarket–
Rush yds 34.5projects 23.3-108ProphetX-108DraftKings–
Anytime TD (yes)+252Kalshi–21%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Completions 16.5: over in 1 of the last 6 games, averaging 14.5. The model projects 19 and gives the over 67%. Best over -105 at theScore Bet, best under +102 at Novig.

Pass TDs 0.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 0.7. The model projects 1 and gives the over 71%. Best over -163 at Novig, best under +168 at DraftKings.

Pass + rush 223.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 213.3. The model projects 232.9. Best over -110 at theScore Bet, best under -120 at theScore Bet.

Pass att 28.5: over in 1 of the last 6 games, averaging 25.2. The model projects 30. Best over -105 at Caesars, best under -112 at DraftKings.

Pass yds 199.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 176.2. The model projects 202.3. Best over +140 at Fanatics, best under -160 at Polymarket.

Rush yds 34.5: over in 4 of the last 6 games, averaging 37.2. The model projects 23.3. Best over -108 at ProphetX, best under -108 at DraftKings.

This season

WeekOppCompletionsPass TDsPass + rushPass att
W7@NYJ14224521
W5CIN15121127
W4@MIN909617
W3KC20026636
W2@SF14120323
W1@LV15025927

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