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Justice Hill props

BAL vs BUF · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Receptions 1.5projects 1-151ProphetX+138Novig45%
Rush + rec 24.5projects 16.5-114FanDuel+105theScore Bet35%
Rush yds 10.5projects 6.2-110ProphetX+100theScore Bet36%
Rec yds 9.5projects 6.7-132FanDuel+111Novign/a
Anytime TD (yes)+600FanDueln/a19%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Receptions 1.5: over in 5 of the last 7 games, averaging 1.9. The model projects 1 and gives the over 45%. Best over -151 at ProphetX, best under +138 at Novig.

Rush + rec 24.5: over in 5 of the last 7 games, averaging 32. The model projects 16.5 and gives the over 35%. Best over -114 at FanDuel, best under +105 at theScore Bet.

Rush yds 10.5: over in 3 of the last 7 games, averaging 20. The model projects 6.2 and gives the over 36%. Best over -110 at ProphetX, best under +100 at theScore Bet.

Rec yds 9.5: over in 4 of the last 7 games, averaging 12. The model projects 6.7. Best over -132 at FanDuel, best under +111 at Novig.

Anytime TD: scored in 0 of his last 7 games. The model gives him a 19% chance to score. Best price +600 at FanDuel.

This season

WeekOppReceptionsRush + recRush ydsRec yds
W7CIN333726
W6@CLE3909
W5@ATL278735
W4TEN225322
W3@DAL033330
W2NO218612
W1@IND1281810

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