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Josh Allen props

BUF vs BAL · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Completions 20.5projects 21-108Kalshi-108Caesars53%
Pass att 30.5projects 31-104Novig+100Novig54%
Pass TDs 1.5projects 2-111Novig+108DraftKings51%
Rush att 7.5projects 6+113Caesars-138Novig37%
Pass + rush 249.5projects 275.1-300FanDuel––
Pass yds 249.5projects 236.9-104Novig-104Novig–
Rush yds 29.5projects 31.4-168Kalshi+109Kalshi–
Anytime TD (yes)-150Novig–32%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Completions 20.5: over in 2 of the last 6 games, averaging 19. The model projects 21 and gives the over 53%. Best over -108 at Kalshi, best under -108 at Caesars.

Pass att 30.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 28.5. The model projects 31 and gives the over 54%. Best over -104 at Novig, best under +100 at Novig.

Pass TDs 1.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 1.5. The model projects 2 and gives the over 51%. Best over -111 at Novig, best under +108 at DraftKings.

Rush att 7.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 8. The model projects 6 and gives the over 37%. Best over +113 at Caesars, best under -138 at Novig.

Pass + rush 249.5: over in 5 of the last 6 games, averaging 290.7. The model projects 275.1. Best over -300 at FanDuel.

Pass yds 249.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 250.7. The model projects 236.9. Best over -104 at Novig, best under -104 at Novig.

This season

WeekOppCompletionsPass attPass TDsRush att
W6@LV233325
W5@LA1219110
W4NE233315
W3LAC162608
W2DET2031314
W1@HOU202926

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