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Jonathan Taylor props

IND vs JAX · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Receptions 2.5projects 2-111Polymarket+110theScore Bet36%
Rec yds 19.5projects 13.6+125DraftKings-168Kalshi–
Rush + rec 79.5projects 68.2-112Kalshi-110theScore Bet–
Rush att 15.5projects 13-112Caesars-102DraftKings–
Rush yds 59.5projects 48.7+100FanDuel-110theScore Bet–
Anytime TD (yes)-105theScore Bet–49%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Receptions 2.5: over in 3 of the last 7 games, averaging 2.4. The model projects 2 and gives the over 36%. Best over -111 at Polymarket, best under +110 at theScore Bet.

Rec yds 19.5: over in 4 of the last 7 games, averaging 25.4. The model projects 13.6. Best over +125 at DraftKings, best under -168 at Kalshi.

Rush + rec 79.5: over in 6 of the last 7 games, averaging 109.3. The model projects 68.2. Best over -112 at Kalshi, best under -110 at theScore Bet.

Rush att 15.5: over in 6 of the last 7 games, averaging 20. The model projects 13. Best over -112 at Caesars, best under -102 at DraftKings.

Rush yds 59.5: over in 6 of the last 7 games, averaging 83.9. The model projects 48.7. Best over +100 at FanDuel, best under -110 at theScore Bet.

Anytime TD: scored in 5 of his last 7 games. The model gives him a 49% chance to score. Best price -105 at theScore Bet.

This season

WeekOppReceptionsRec ydsRush + recRush att
W7@MIN21511018
W6TEN25715121
W5@PIT3378215
W4@WAS129720
W3HOU247223
W2@KC44013224
W1BAL32312119

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