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Joe Burrow props

CIN vs TEN · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Pass TDs 2.5projects 2+145BetMGM-156Novig23%
Completions 25.5projects 23+108Novig-114FanDueln/a
Pass att 35.5projects 34+102Novig-110Fanaticsn/a
Pass yds 299.5projects 248+180Fanatics-229Kalshin/a
Anytime TD (yes)+525BetMGMn/a14%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Pass TDs 2.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 2.5. The model projects 2 and gives the over 23%. Best over +145 at BetMGM, best under -156 at Novig.

Completions 25.5: over in 2 of the last 6 games, averaging 26.2. The model projects 23. Best over +108 at Novig, best under -114 at FanDuel.

Pass att 35.5: over in 2 of the last 6 games, averaging 36.5. The model projects 34. Best over +102 at Novig, best under -110 at Fanatics.

Pass yds 299.5: over in 1 of the last 6 games, averaging 275.5. The model projects 248. Best over +180 at Fanatics, best under -229 at Kalshi.

Anytime TD: scored in 1 of his last 6 games. The model gives him a 14% chance to score. Best price +525 at BetMGM.

This season

WeekOppPass TDsCompletionsPass attPass yds
W7@BAL42230292
W5@MIA42332190
W4JAX13954428
W3@PIT32837282
W2@HOU22031207
W1TB12535254

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