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Jared Goff props

DET vs MIN · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Completions 22.5projects 21+100theScore Bet-111Novig37%
Pass att 34.5projects 33+108Novig-117DraftKings42%
Pass TDs 1.5projects 1-125BetMGM+111Novig44%
Pass yds 249.5projects 235.3-117Kalshi-104Kalshin/a
Anytime TD (yes)+1350BetMGMn/a5%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Completions 22.5: over in 4 of the last 6 games, averaging 25. The model projects 21 and gives the over 37%. Best over +100 at theScore Bet, best under -111 at Novig.

Pass att 34.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 37.2. The model projects 33 and gives the over 42%. Best over +108 at Novig, best under -117 at DraftKings.

Pass TDs 1.5: over in 5 of the last 6 games, averaging 2.3. The model projects 1 and gives the over 44%. Best over -125 at BetMGM, best under +111 at Novig.

Pass yds 249.5: over in 5 of the last 6 games, averaging 298. The model projects 235.3. Best over -117 at Kalshi, best under -104 at Kalshi.

Anytime TD: scored in 1 of his last 6 games. The model gives him a 5% chance to score. Best price +1350 at BetMGM.

This season

WeekOppCompletionsPass attPass TDsPass yds
W7GB22322303
W5@ARI19303271
W4@CAR32521412
W3NYJ25322269
W2@BUF26384327
W1NO26392206

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