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Jahmyr Gibbs props

DET vs MIN · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Receptions 4.5projects 3+115theScore Bet-122Novig34%
Rush att 21.5projects 20+108Novig-108FanDuel41%
Rush yds 84.5projects 91.4-110theScore Bet-106Novig56%
Rec yds 49.5projects 24.5+250DraftKings-323Kalshin/a
Rush + rec 122.5projects 122.1-106Novig-111DraftKingsn/a
Anytime TD (yes)-235BetMGMn/a71%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Receptions 4.5: over in 5 of the last 6 games, averaging 5.3. The model projects 3 and gives the over 34%. Best over +115 at theScore Bet, best under -122 at Novig.

Rush att 21.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 22.3. The model projects 20 and gives the over 41%. Best over +108 at Novig, best under -108 at FanDuel.

Rush yds 84.5: over in 4 of the last 6 games, averaging 103.3. The model projects 91.4 and gives the over 56%. Best over -110 at theScore Bet, best under -106 at Novig.

Rec yds 49.5: over in 3 of the last 6 games, averaging 45. The model projects 24.5. Best over +250 at DraftKings, best under -323 at Kalshi.

Rush + rec 122.5: over in 4 of the last 6 games, averaging 148.3. The model projects 122.1. Best over -106 at Novig, best under -111 at DraftKings.

Anytime TD: scored in 5 of his last 6 games. The model gives him a 71% chance to score. Best price -235 at BetMGM.

This season

WeekOppReceptionsRush attRush ydsRec yds
W7GB52911627
W5@ARI52515156
W4@CAR4154631
W3NYJ7209965
W2@BUF6165261
W1NO52915630

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