Arb WatcherBeta

Drake Maye props

NE vs MIA · Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

Open the full player view ›

This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Completions 20.5projects 22-104Caesars-116DraftKings60%
Pass att 29.5projects 31-120Fanatics-105Caesars59%
Pass TDs 1.5projects 2-126DraftKings+120Novig54%
Pass + rush 259.5projects 274.4-114DraftKings-112DraftKingsn/a
Pass yds 249.5projects 251.4+135Fanatics-147Polymarketn/a
Rush yds 19.5projects 17.6-135theScore Bet+113Kalshin/a
Anytime TD (yes)+334Polymarketn/a19%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Completions 20.5: over in 4 of the last 7 games, averaging 20.1. The model projects 22 and gives the over 60%. Best over -104 at Caesars, best under -116 at DraftKings.

Pass att 29.5: over in 5 of the last 7 games, averaging 30.6. The model projects 31 and gives the over 59%. Best over -120 at Fanatics, best under -105 at Caesars.

Pass TDs 1.5: over in 4 of the last 7 games, averaging 1.9. The model projects 2 and gives the over 54%. Best over -126 at DraftKings, best under +120 at Novig.

Pass + rush 259.5: over in 3 of the last 7 games, averaging 285. The model projects 274.4. Best over -114 at DraftKings, best under -112 at DraftKings.

Pass yds 249.5: over in 3 of the last 7 games, averaging 254.9. The model projects 251.4. Best over +135 at Fanatics, best under -147 at Polymarket.

Rush yds 19.5: over in 5 of the last 7 games, averaging 30.1. The model projects 17.6. Best over -135 at theScore Bet, best under +113 at Kalshi.

This season

WeekOppCompletionsPass attPass TDsPass + rush
W7@CHI24312347
W6NYJ18323259
W5LV26344399
W4@BUF22373323
W3@JAX14250217
W2PIT14220225
W1@SEA23331225

See Drake Maye's chart, matchup and every book's price ›