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Domantas Sabonis props

SAC vs NO · Thu, Oct 29, 8:00 PM ET · C

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Tonight's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Points 17.5projects 17.5-104ProphetX+104Novig50%
Rebounds 14.5projects 12.3+112ProphetX-117Novig41%
Assists 6.5projects 5.7-107DraftKings+100Fanatics44%
Threes 0.5projects 0.3+359DraftKings-365Novig27%
Pts + Reb + Ast 39.5projects 36.8+104ProphetX-108Novig49%
Pts + Reb 32.5projects 29.8+102Novig-104Novig48%
Pts + Ast 24.5projects 23.2+100Novig-106Novig47%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Points 17.5: over in 4 of the last 10 games, averaging 16.7. The model projects 17.5 and gives the over 50%. Best over -104 at ProphetX, best under +104 at Novig.

Rebounds 14.5: over in 5 of the last 10 games, averaging 13.3. The model projects 12.3 and gives the over 41%. Best over +112 at ProphetX, best under -117 at Novig.

Assists 6.5: over in 5 of the last 10 games, averaging 5.9. The model projects 5.7 and gives the over 44%. Best over -107 at DraftKings, best under +100 at Fanatics.

Threes 0.5: over in 2 of the last 10 games, averaging 0.2. The model projects 0.3 and gives the over 27%. Best over +359 at DraftKings, best under -365 at Novig.

Pts + Reb + Ast 39.5: over in 5 of the last 10 games, averaging 35.9. The model projects 36.8 and gives the over 49%. Best over +104 at ProphetX, best under -108 at Novig.

Pts + Reb 32.5: over in 4 of the last 10 games, averaging 30. The model projects 29.8 and gives the over 48%. Best over +102 at Novig, best under -104 at Novig.

Recent games

DateOppMinPtsRebAst3PM
10/27@ SA37201480
10/25vs MEM35151530
10/23vs POR392719101
10/21@ LAC34141880
2/04vs MEM24241530
1/29@ PHI2814730
1/27@ NY33111270
1/25@ DET2512780
1/23@ CLE31241661
1/20vs MIA1761030

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