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Daniel Jones props

IND vs JAX · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Completions 19.5projects 22-114FanDuel+102Novig70%
Pass TDs 0.5projects 1-178Novig+178DraftKings78%
Rush yds 8.5projects 5.5-108Novig-104Novig40%
Pass + rush 199.5projects 245.3-112FanDuel-115Caesars–
Pass att 31.5projects 35-116Polymarket+102Novig–
Pass yds 199.5projects 235.5+125theScore Bet-143Kalshi–
Anytime TD (yes)+800Fanatics–8%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Completions 19.5: over in 4 of the last 7 games, averaging 20.4. The model projects 22 and gives the over 70%. Best over -114 at FanDuel, best under +102 at Novig.

Pass TDs 0.5: over in 4 of the last 7 games, averaging 0.6. The model projects 1 and gives the over 78%. Best over -178 at Novig, best under +178 at DraftKings.

Rush yds 8.5: over in 3 of the last 7 games, averaging 9.7. The model projects 5.5 and gives the over 40%. Best over -108 at Novig, best under -104 at Novig.

Pass + rush 199.5: over in 4 of the last 7 games, averaging 209.4. The model projects 245.3. Best over -112 at FanDuel, best under -115 at Caesars.

Pass att 31.5: over in 4 of the last 7 games, averaging 34.3. The model projects 35. Best over -116 at Polymarket, best under +102 at Novig.

Pass yds 199.5: over in 4 of the last 7 games, averaging 199.7. The model projects 235.5. Best over +125 at theScore Bet, best under -143 at Kalshi.

This season

WeekOppCompletionsPass TDsRush ydsPass + rush
W7@MIN13013121
W6TEN22130299
W5@PIT2404271
W4@WAS1902145
W3HOU2415240
W2@KC22110220
W1BAL1914170

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