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Damian Lillard props

POR vs MEM · Thu, Oct 29, 10:00 PM ET · PG

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Tonight's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Points 20.5projects 19.4-113Novig+111Novig49%
Rebounds 3.5projects 4.7-106Novig+113DraftKings59%
Assists 3.5projects 3.4-137Kalshi+126FanDuel51%
Threes 2.5projects 2.9-144Novig+138Novig58%
Pts + Reb + Ast 28.5projects 27.6-111Novig+104Novig52%
Pts + Reb 24.5projects 24.1-111Novig-104FanDuel51%
Pts + Ast 24.5projects 22.8-115Novig+102Novig48%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Points 20.5: over in 2 of the last 3 games, averaging 21.7. The model projects 19.4 and gives the over 49%. Best over -113 at Novig, best under +111 at Novig.

Rebounds 3.5: over in 2 of the last 3 games, averaging 4.3. The model projects 4.7 and gives the over 59%. Best over -106 at Novig, best under +113 at DraftKings.

Assists 3.5: over in 2 of the last 3 games, averaging 4. The model projects 3.4 and gives the over 51%. Best over -137 at Kalshi, best under +126 at FanDuel.

Threes 2.5: over in 2 of the last 3 games, averaging 4. The model projects 2.9 and gives the over 58%. Best over -144 at Novig, best under +138 at Novig.

Pts + Reb + Ast 28.5: over in 2 of the last 3 games, averaging 30. The model projects 27.6 and gives the over 52%. Best over -111 at Novig, best under +104 at Novig.

Pts + Reb 24.5: over in 2 of the last 3 games, averaging 26. The model projects 24.1 and gives the over 51%. Best over -111 at Novig, best under -104 at FanDuel.

Recent games

DateOppMinPtsRebAst3PM
10/27@ LAL3121544
10/23@ SAC3319522
10/21vs PHX2425366

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