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Bucky Irving props

TB vs ATL · Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Receptions 2.5projects 2-107Polymarket+100Novig30%
Rush + rec 89.5projects 67.1-115theScore Bet-110theScore Bet29%
Rush att 16.5projects 14-107Caesars+100DraftKings35%
Rec yds 15.5projects 8.1-110Caesars-112DraftKings–
Rush yds 69.5projects 53.4-108Novig-115theScore Bet–
Anytime TD (yes)-110theScore Bet–48%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Receptions 2.5: over in 2 of the last 7 games, averaging 2.6. The model projects 2 and gives the over 30%. Best over -107 at Polymarket, best under +100 at Novig.

Rush + rec 89.5: over in 4 of the last 7 games, averaging 90.9. The model projects 67.1 and gives the over 29%. Best over -115 at theScore Bet, best under -110 at theScore Bet.

Rush att 16.5: over in 4 of the last 7 games, averaging 17.1. The model projects 14 and gives the over 35%. Best over -107 at Caesars, best under +100 at DraftKings.

Rec yds 15.5: over in 1 of the last 7 games, averaging 11.1. The model projects 8.1. Best over -110 at Caesars, best under -112 at DraftKings.

Rush yds 69.5: over in 3 of the last 7 games, averaging 79.7. The model projects 53.4. Best over -108 at Novig, best under -115 at theScore Bet.

Anytime TD: scored in 3 of his last 7 games. The model gives him a 48% chance to score. Best price -110 at theScore Bet.

This season

WeekOppReceptionsRush + recRush attRec yds
W7@CAR1110244
W6PIT249193
W5@DAL21752110
W4GB061160
W3MIN2581512
W2CLE490171
W1@CIN793848

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