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Bo Nix props

DEN vs KC · Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET

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This week's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Completions 20.5projects 22-108Novig-102Novig63%
Pass TDs 1.5projects 1+198Kalshi-228Novig32%
Pass + rush 224.5projects 228.2-120theScore Bet-110theScore Bet–
Pass att 33.5projects 36-105theScore Bet-106Novig–
Pass yds 199.5projects 211.3-130DraftKings+101Kalshi–
Rush yds 19.5projects 12.1+128Kalshi-161Kalshi–
Anytime TD (yes)+525Novig–13%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Completions 20.5: over in 2 of the last 7 games, averaging 18.4. The model projects 22 and gives the over 63%. Best over -108 at Novig, best under -102 at Novig.

Pass TDs 1.5: over in 1 of the last 7 games, averaging 1. The model projects 1 and gives the over 32%. Best over +198 at Kalshi, best under -228 at Novig.

Pass + rush 224.5: over in 2 of the last 7 games, averaging 197.3. The model projects 228.2. Best over -120 at theScore Bet, best under -110 at theScore Bet.

Pass att 33.5: over in 2 of the last 7 games, averaging 31.1. The model projects 36. Best over -105 at theScore Bet, best under -106 at Novig.

Pass yds 199.5: over in 3 of the last 7 games, averaging 181.6. The model projects 211.3. Best over -130 at DraftKings, best under +101 at Kalshi.

Rush yds 19.5: over in 1 of the last 7 games, averaging 15.7. The model projects 12.1. Best over +128 at Kalshi, best under -161 at Kalshi.

This season

WeekOppCompletionsPass TDsPass + rushPass att
W7@ARI15129529
W6SEA17010927
W5@LAC16113327
W4@SF25122442
W3LA17219334
W2JAX22129431
W1@KC17113328

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