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Aaron Nesmith props

IND vs MIA · Fri, Oct 30, 8:00 PM ET · SF

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Tonight's lines

PropOverUnderModel over
Points 12.5projects 13.2-115Fanatics-105DraftKings51%
Rebounds 3.5projects 3.2+146FanDuel-198FanDuel37%
Threes 2.5projects 2.2+146FanDuel-156DraftKings38%
Pts + Reb + Ast 18.5projects 18.2-108FanDuel-122FanDuel48%
Pts + Reb 16.5projects 16.4-106FanDuel-125FanDuel48%

Best price across sportsbooks for each side, from Unabated's odds feed. Green = the model's chance beats the price. Prices move fast: check the bet slip before placing.

The numbers

Points 12.5: over in 8 of the last 10 games, averaging 14.6. The model projects 13.2 and gives the over 51%. Best over -115 at Fanatics, best under -105 at DraftKings.

Rebounds 3.5: over in 2 of the last 10 games, averaging 2.5. The model projects 3.2 and gives the over 37%. Best over +146 at FanDuel, best under -198 at FanDuel.

Threes 2.5: over in 5 of the last 10 games, averaging 2.6. The model projects 2.2 and gives the over 38%. Best over +146 at FanDuel, best under -156 at DraftKings.

Pts + Reb + Ast 18.5: over in 4 of the last 10 games, averaging 18.2. The model projects 18.2 and gives the over 48%. Best over -108 at FanDuel, best under -122 at FanDuel.

Pts + Reb 16.5: over in 5 of the last 10 games, averaging 17.1. The model projects 16.4 and gives the over 48%. Best over -106 at FanDuel, best under -125 at FanDuel.

Recent games

DateOppMinPtsRebAst3PM
10/28vs PHI2718213
10/26@ MIL2113013
10/25@ BKN1913122
10/23vs DAL209411
3/27vs LAC3526724
3/25vs LAL3214312
3/23@ ORL3519225
3/21@ SA255201
3/18vs POR2615311
3/17@ NY2414104

See Aaron Nesmith's chart, matchup and every book's price ›